GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/17/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Garcilaso are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UTC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Garcilaso

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo GarcilasoWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
UTCLLDLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo GarcilasoUTC
41.3Attack38.1
68.3Defence46.0
55.6Form31.7
57.0Power41.3
1.50xG0.63
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