Deportivo Garcilasovs
UCV Moquegua
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Garcilaso are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and deportivo Garcilaso hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Deportivo Garcilaso with 19.7% confidence, a 30% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Garcilaso
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
19.7%
Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40