Deportivo Garcilasovs
Sporting Cristal
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 2/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Deportivo Garcilaso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Garcilaso
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40