GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Garcilaso are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ADT are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Garcilaso

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo GarcilasoDDDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ADTWLLDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo GarcilasoADT
41.3Attack38.1
68.3Defence57.1
55.6Form33.3
57.0Power44.4
1.18xG0.63
View match centre →