GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Cuenca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo CuencaWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Independiente del ValleDWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CuencaIndependiente del Valle
30.6Attack81.3
58.3Defence68.0
43.1Form85.3
46.7Power78.3
0.57xG1.88
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