GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Capiata · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Capiata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independiente F.b.c. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.8 against 50.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Division Intermedia, while Deportivo Capiata holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Capiata

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Deportivo Capiata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo CapiataDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente F.b.c.DWWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo CapiataIndependiente F.b.c.
44.4Attack48.1
53.7Defence53.7
42.6Form42.6
48.8Power50.1
1.32xG1.22
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