Deportes TolimavsIndependiente Medellin

Deportes Tolima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.