GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 3/19/2026, 11:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Fortaleza FCLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Deportes TolimaFortaleza FC
48.1Attack37.7
66.7Defence55.1
56.8Form39.1
58.8Power46.3
1.44xG0.66
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