GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 5/9/2026, 11:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Pasto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo PastoLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
48.1Attack42.7
66.7Defence50.7
56.8Form45.3
58.8Power48.8
1.57xG0.76
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