Deportes Tolimavs
Deportivo Pasto
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 5/9/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportes Tolima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Pasto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportes Tolima
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60