GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 1/24/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

66.4%

Model confidence

19.7%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes TolimaWLLWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Alianza ValleduparLDLWW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportes TolimaAlianza Valledupar
48.1Attack25.8
66.7Defence50.0
56.8Form27.3
58.8Power37.0
1.65xG0.44
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