GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Santa Cruz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportes Santa Cruz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Curico Unido are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Curico Unido hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Primera B, while Deportes Santa Cruz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Santa Cruz

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Deportes Santa Cruz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes Santa CruzLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Curico UnidoWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes Santa CruzCurico Unido
42.1Attack33.3
40.4Defence48.1
28.1Form35.2
39.6Power41.7
1.39xG1.10
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