Deportes Santa CruzvsA. Italiano

Deportes Santa Cruz are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while A. Italiano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Santa Cruz hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (68.4 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Copa Chile, while Deportes Santa Cruz holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.