GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Deportes Limache are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while U. Catolica are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes LimacheDWLWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
U. CatolicaDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes LimacheU. Catolica
66.7Attack74.1
47.1Defence51.9
47.1Form55.6
53.2Power59.7
2.03xG2.19
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