GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/7/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportes Iquique are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportes IquiqueDWDWD

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Marcos de AricaDDDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportes IquiqueSan Marcos de Arica
45.6Attack40.0
56.1Defence73.3
36.8Form50.0
46.4Power56.1
0.76xG0.99
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