Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Depor FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Envigado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (35.2 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Primera B, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
19.4%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80