GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/26/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Denver Summit W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Diego Wave W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the NWSL Women, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WDDWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San Diego Wave WWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Denver Summit WSan Diego Wave W
43.9Attack41.7
56.1Defence65.0
42.1Form55.0
49.0Power55.9
0.96xG1.02
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