GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Denver Summit W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Thorns W

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

33.8%

Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Portland Thorns WLWDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Denver Summit WPortland Thorns W
43.9Attack56.1
56.1Defence50.9
42.1Form54.4
49.0Power54.6
1.36xG1.38
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