GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/4/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Denver Summit W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Denver Summit W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kansas City W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kansas City W hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the NWSL Women, while Denver Summit W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Denver Summit W

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

14.0%

Denver Summit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denver Summit WWLWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kansas City WWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Denver Summit WKansas City W
43.9Attack51.7
56.1Defence53.3
42.1Form50.0
49.0Power51.9
1.30xG1.25
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