GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Denbigh Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Denbigh Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bangor 1876 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Denbigh Town hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the FAW Championship, while Denbigh Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Denbigh Town

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

9.4%

Denbigh Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Denbigh TownWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bangor 1876LLLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Denbigh TownBangor 1876
83.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power53.0
2.07xG1.64
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