Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Den Bosch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Den Bosch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al-Fayha are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Den Bosch hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Den Bosch holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Den Bosch
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
11.8%
Den Bosch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60