GGOALVIO

Brazil · Mineiro - 2 · 8/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Democrata SL · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Democrata SL are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Villa Nova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Democrata SL hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Mineiro - 2, while Democrata SL holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Democrata SL

Probability

57.8%

Model confidence

12.2%

Democrata SL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Democrata SLWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Villa NovaLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Democrata SLVilla Nova
68.9Attack51.1
68.9Defence62.2
71.1Form48.9
69.5Power54.5
1.76xG0.83
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