Democrata SLvsVilla Nova

Democrata SL are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Villa Nova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Democrata SL hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Mineiro - 2, while Democrata SL holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.