GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Democrata GV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vitória ES are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.6 against 54.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Democrata GVWLDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Vitória ESWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Democrata GVVitória ES
41.7Attack36.1
63.9Defence72.2
50.0Form50.0
53.6Power54.0
0.74xG0.71
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