GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Democrata GV · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Democrata GV are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Porto BA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Democrata GV hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.2% in the Serie D, while Democrata GV holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Democrata GV

Probability

67.2%

Model confidence

67.2%

Democrata GV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Democrata GVLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Porto BADLWLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Democrata GVPorto BA
41.7Attack30.0
63.9Defence30.0
50.0Form33.3
53.6Power34.8
1.97xG0.56
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