Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Delémont · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Delémont are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Thun II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Delémont hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 2, while Delémont holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Delémont
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
8.9%
Delémont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40