Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Delfin SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Manta FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Delfin SC hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40