Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Delfin SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Macara are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40