Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Delfin SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Libertad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40