Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dečić · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Dečić are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bokelj are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dečić hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the First League, while Dečić holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dečić
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Dečić has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60