GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 4/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sirius · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Degerfors IF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sirius are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 45.3-point power-rating edge (35.7 v 80.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.7% in the Allsvenskan, while Sirius holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sirius

Probability

78.7%

Model confidence

78.7%

Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Degerfors IFWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SiriusLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Degerfors IFSirius
29.2Attack91.7
43.8Defence60.4
27.1Form87.5
35.7Power80.9
0.65xG2.84
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