GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 7/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Degerfors IF are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Malmo FF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Malmo FF hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (35.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Allsvenskan, while Malmo FF holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malmo FF

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Degerfors IFWDLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Malmo FFDWLLL

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
29.2Attack64.6
43.8Defence43.8
27.1Form47.9
35.7Power52.8
1.01xG2.10
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