Defensores Unidosvs
Sportivo Italiano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensores Unidos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Italiano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Italiano hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00