GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin Formosa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Defensores de Vilelas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Martin Formosa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while San Martin Formosa holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martin Formosa

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

San Martin Formosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de VilelasLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San Martin FormosaLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores de VilelasSan Martin Formosa
50.9Attack57.9
47.4Defence63.2
45.6Form68.4
49.2Power64.4
1.16xG1.76
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