GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores de Cambaceres are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lugano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de CambaceresLDLDL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LuganoWWDDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores de CambaceresLugano
27.5Attack39.1
62.3Defence71.0
36.2Form52.2
44.0Power55.6
0.50xG0.84
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