GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Telmo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 43.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoLDLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San TelmoLDDDW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Defensores De BelgranoSan Telmo
23.2Attack26.1
69.6Defence65.2
36.2Form33.3
45.3Power43.6
0.53xG0.44
View match centre →