GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Moron are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoLLDWL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MoronLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores De BelgranoDeportivo Moron
23.2Attack53.6
69.6Defence68.1
36.2Form59.4
45.3Power61.0
0.46xG0.95
View match centre →