GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 6/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoDWLDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Colon Santa FeDDDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoColon Santa Fe
23.2Attack40.3
69.6Defence73.6
36.2Form54.2
45.3Power57.1
0.38xG0.71
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