GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoWDDWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ciudad de BolívarWDDDD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Defensores De BelgranoCiudad de Bolívar
22.2Attack28.0
70.8Defence70.7
36.1Form45.3
45.3Power50.5
0.42xG0.46
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