GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores De Belgrano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico Mitre are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 46.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores De BelgranoWWDDL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico MitreDDWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico Mitre
22.2Attack33.3
70.8Defence61.3
36.1Form38.7
45.3Power46.1
0.56xG0.54
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