GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensores de Belgrano VR are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de Belgrano VRLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Sportivo BelgranoDDWLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores de Belgrano VRSportivo Belgrano
39.7Attack34.9
66.7Defence81.0
49.2Form50.8
53.8Power56.8
0.57xG0.65
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