GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensores de Belgrano VR · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Defensores de Belgrano VR are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while 9 de Julio Rafaela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Belgrano VR hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while Defensores de Belgrano VR holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensores de Belgrano VR

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Defensores de Belgrano VR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensores de Belgrano VRLWDDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
9 de Julio RafaelaWLWWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores de Belgrano VR9 de Julio Rafaela
39.7Attack47.6
66.7Defence55.6
49.2Form47.6
53.8Power51.4
1.15xG0.87
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