GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensor Sporting are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

30.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensor SportingLWLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Liverpool MontevideoWDWLD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
28.8Attack37.7
69.7Defence66.7
40.9Form46.4
49.1Power52.2
0.61xG0.63
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