Defensor Sportingvs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 7/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensor Sporting are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80