GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensor Sporting are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Juventud are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensor Sporting hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

23.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensor SportingDWDWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
JuventudDWWDD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Defensor SportingJuventud
27.5Attack37.7
69.6Defence50.7
39.1Form34.8
48.1Power43.4
0.88xG0.62
View match centre →