Defensor Sportingvs
Central Espanol
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensor Sporting are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Central Espanol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Central Espanol hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.3% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
27.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40