GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 6/7/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensor Sporting are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boston River are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensor Sporting hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensor SportingDLLLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boston RiverLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Defensor SportingBoston River
27.5Attack29.2
69.6Defence56.9
39.1Form36.1
48.1Power42.7
0.77xG0.48
View match centre →