Defensor Sportingvs
Boston River
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 6/7/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensor Sporting are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boston River are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensor Sporting hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80