GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 3/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensor Sporting are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Albion FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Albion FC hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensor SportingDWLDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Albion FCWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Defensor SportingAlbion FC
27.5Attack46.4
69.6Defence63.8
39.1Form49.3
48.1Power54.3
0.63xG0.79
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