Defensa Y Justiciavs
Union Santa Fe
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/21/2026, 8:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Santa Fe hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40