GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/9/2026, 8:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and defensa Y Justicia hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Liga Profesional Argentina, favouring Defensa Y Justicia with 15.1% confidence, a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

15.1%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Newells Old BoysDLWDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa Y JusticiaNewells Old Boys
36.8Attack31.6
54.4Defence47.4
40.4Form33.3
45.7Power39.9
1.28xG0.78
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