GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/2/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lanus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

19.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Defensa Y JusticiaDDDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LanusLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Defensa Y JusticiaLanus
38.3Attack36.5
55.0Defence68.3
43.3Form47.6
47.5Power51.8
0.78xG0.92
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